Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andrey Rublev v Nuno Borges

Inizio: 2026-08-18 15:11 UTC

Finale: Andrey Rublev 0–2 Nuno Borges

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 62.71%1.59quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.984%
Kelly -2.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.95%62.84%62.65%65.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nuno Borges (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.29%2.68quota equa
EV +2.17%
Vantaggio +0.793%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.94%37.16%37.35%39.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.542.502.7441.67%39.41%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Andrey Rublev (Casa): 62.71%; Nuno Borges (Trasferta): 37.29%. Per Nuno Borges (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.68. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%3.2%2026-08-18 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.17%E +0.793%K +1.25%G +0.027%3.2%2026-08-18 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-18 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.682%E +0.253%K +0.401%G +0.003%6.0%2026-08-18 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 14:45
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.18%E -0.446%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 14:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.73%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.878%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 14:55
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:18
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 14:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:55
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 14:55
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.28%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.66%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.03%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 14:30
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.43%E -2.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.40%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 14:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:20
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:19
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:20
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.31%E -3.51%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 11:35
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 13:35
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 09:44
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.54%E -0.984%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:20
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.93%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 14:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-18 14:55
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-18 14:55
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-18 14:55
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-18 14:55