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Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul

2026-08-19 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 66.04%1.51fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.89%66.25%65.95%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4874.07%71.65%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visit)

Prediction 33.96%2.94fair odd
EV +5.29%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.133%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%33.75%34.05%35.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.892.833.1039.22%34.65%35.34%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Zverev (Local): 66.04%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 33.96%. For Tommy Paul (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +5.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.29%E +1.71%K +2.52%G +0.133%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.29%E +1.71%K +2.52%G +0.133%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.29%E +1.71%K +2.52%G +0.133%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.29%E +1.71%K +2.52%G +0.133%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -10.19%E -7.49%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +5.29%E +1.71%K +2.52%G +0.133%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.89%E +0.630%K +0.945%G +0.018%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +0.192%E +0.065%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-18 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -6.89%E -4.89%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -1.85%E -0.639%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.19%E -0.759%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 06:25
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.19%E -0.759%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 07:09
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.27%E -1.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.86%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 07:00
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 06:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 06:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 06:15
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.92%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 06:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 06:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 06:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 06:44
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:05
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:05
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:04
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.91%E -3.41%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 06:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:29
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 06:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 06:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.55%E -5.39%K -18.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.57%E -3.89%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 06:04
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -11.02%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-18 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.21%E -5.91%K -21.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.70%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 06:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.87%E -6.43%K -23.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.39%E -5.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -9.53%E -6.96%K -25.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -13.39%E -5.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.50%9.0%2026-08-18 06:50
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-08-18 06:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 06:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 06:50
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 44.96%1.07I 93.46%NM 55.04%69.8%2026-08-18 07:00
Arbitrage (15 combinations) +0.17%1xBet 1.48 (67.7%) / Unibet 3.10 (32.3%)Show all 15 combinations
Alexander Zverev (Local)Tommy Paul (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.48 (67.7%)Unibet🎯 3.10 (32.3%)+0.175%
1xBet🎯 1.48 (67.7%)BetRivers🎯 3.10 (32.3%)+0.175%
1xBet🎯 1.48 (67.7%)TABtouch🎯 3.10 (32.3%)+0.175%
1xBet🎯 1.48 (67.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.10 (32.3%)+0.175%
1xBet🎯 1.48 (67.7%)Bally Bet🎯 3.10 (32.3%)+0.175%

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