Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul

2026-08-19 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 66.25%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -8.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.89%66.66%65.99%69.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.391.391.4574.07%71.85%71.94%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.75%2.96cote équitable
EV +4.61%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%33.34%34.01%35.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.912.903.1039.22%34.38%34.54%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 66.25% ; Tommy Paul (Visiteur) : 33.75%. Pour Tommy Paul (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.96. 21 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.10, pour une espérance positive de +4.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.3%2026-08-18 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.3%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:20
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV +2.25%E +0.743%K +1.11%G +0.025%4.9%2026-08-18 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.620%G +0.008%2.8%2026-08-18 07:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.620%G +0.008%7.4%2026-08-18 07:10
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.227%E +0.076%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 07:14
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.46%E -0.500%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.14%E -0.736%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -2.47%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.81%E -0.976%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 06:25
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.81%E -0.976%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 06:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 06:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 07:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 06:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 07:13
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 07:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 07:44
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-18 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 06:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%6.9%2026-08-18 07:20
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-08-18 06:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.93%17.3%2026-08-18 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.93%17.3%2026-08-18 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:00

Discutez de ce match sur odds.forum

Aucun commentaire publié pour le moment.