Idioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 69.88%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -7.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%69.86%69.84%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.3976.92%73.77%73.53%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 30.12%3.32momio equitativo
EV +0.899%
Ventaja +0.268%
Kelly +0.383%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.14%30.16%32.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.103.3534.48%31.93%32.26%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Zverev (Local): 69.88%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 30.12%. Para Tommy Paul (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.899%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.899%E +0.268%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.297%E +0.089%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.87%E -2.06%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -0.908%E -0.276%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -2.41%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.02%E -0.937%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.937%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 05:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.15%E -7.04%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.15%E -7.04%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.15%E -7.04%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 16:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 05:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 05:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 05:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 05:27 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 12:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 17:55 |