StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul

2026-08-19 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 66.25%1.51rättvist odds
EV -3.93%
Fördel -2.71%
Kelly -8.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.89%66.66%65.99%69.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.391.391.4574.07%71.85%71.94%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Borta)

Prognos 33.75%2.96rättvist odds
EV +4.61%
Fördel +1.49%
Kelly +2.20%
Tillväxt +0.101%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.49%33.34%34.01%35.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.912.903.1039.22%34.38%34.54%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 66.25%; Tommy Paul (Borta): 33.75%. För Tommy Paul (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.96. 21 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.10, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +4.61%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.3%2026-08-18 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.3%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:20
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV +2.25%E +0.743%K +1.11%G +0.025%4.9%2026-08-18 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.620%G +0.008%2.8%2026-08-18 07:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.620%G +0.008%7.4%2026-08-18 07:10
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.227%E +0.076%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 07:14
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.46%E -0.500%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.14%E -0.736%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -2.47%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.81%E -0.976%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 06:25
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.81%E -0.976%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 06:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 06:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 07:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 06:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 07:13
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 07:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 07:44
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-18 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 06:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%6.9%2026-08-18 07:20
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-08-18 06:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.93%17.3%2026-08-18 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.93%17.3%2026-08-18 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:00

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