StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul

Matchstart: 2026-08-19 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Alexander Zverev 1–2 Tommy Paul

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 69.88%1.43rättvist odds
EV -2.87%
Fördel -2.06%
Kelly -7.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.76%69.86%69.84%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.361.361.3976.92%73.77%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Borta)

Prognos 30.12%3.32rättvist odds
EV +0.899%
Fördel +0.268%
Kelly +0.383%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.57%30.14%30.16%32.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.133.103.3534.48%31.93%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 69.88%; Tommy Paul (Borta): 30.12%. För Tommy Paul (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.32. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.899%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.899%E +0.268%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.5%2026-08-19 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV +0.297%E +0.089%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 17:35
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.87%E -2.06%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -0.908%E -0.276%K -0.396%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.11%E -0.650%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -2.41%E -0.745%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.02%E -0.937%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -8.46%E -6.46%K -27.28%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -3.02%E -0.937%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 16:54
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 13:45
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 17:40
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 05:29
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.15%E -7.04%K -30.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.15%E -7.04%K -30.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.15%E -7.04%K -30.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 17:15
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 16:53
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:55
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 17:05
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:10
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 17:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.66%E -4.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 05:29
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 05:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.36%E -4.75%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.26%E -3.11%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 05:29
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 05:27
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.96%E -3.65%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 16:53
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 16:55
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.56%E -2.58%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 12:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-19 17:55
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-19 17:55
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-19 17:50
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-08-19 17:55
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-08-19 17:55