Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev v Tommy Paul

2026-08-19 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Previsão 66.25%1.51odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -8.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.89%66.66%65.99%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.391.391.4574.07%71.85%71.94%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 33.75%2.96odd justa
EV +4.61%
Vantagem +1.49%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescimento +0.101%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%33.34%34.01%35.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.912.903.1039.22%34.38%34.54%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexander Zverev (Local): 66.25%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 33.75%. Para Tommy Paul (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.96. 21 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.10, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +4.61%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.3%2026-08-18 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.3%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +4.61%E +1.49%K +2.20%G +0.101%5.8%2026-08-18 07:20
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV +2.25%E +0.743%K +1.11%G +0.025%4.9%2026-08-18 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.620%G +0.008%2.8%2026-08-18 07:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.620%G +0.008%7.4%2026-08-18 07:10
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.227%E +0.076%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 07:14
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.46%E -0.500%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.14%E -0.736%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -2.47%E -0.856%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.81%E -0.976%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 06:25
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.81%E -0.976%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 06:24
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 06:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 07:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 06:39
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 06:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 06:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 07:13
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 07:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 06:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 07:44
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-18 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 06:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -9.23%E -6.74%K -24.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-18 06:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%6.9%2026-08-18 07:20
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-08-18 06:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.93%17.3%2026-08-18 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 65.07%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.93%17.3%2026-08-18 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:55
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 64.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 35.69%18.7%2026-08-18 07:00

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