Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 76.65%1.30fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.40%76.86%76.92%79.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.89%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visit)
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV +9.99%
Edge +2.12%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.269%
assuming max odds 4.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.57%23.14%23.08%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.204.204.7127.40%23.83%23.81%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 76.65%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 23.35%. For Cameron Norrie (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 26 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.43%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.57%EV +9.99%E +2.12%K +2.69%G +0.269% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +7.42%E +1.61%K +2.06%G +0.153% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 03:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 03:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.12%E +0.258%K +0.336%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.749%E -0.176%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -2.38%E -0.570%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 03:28 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 03:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.89%E -1.48%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 03:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.42%E -2.72%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.13%E -0.872%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 01:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 03:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.34% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |