Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie

2026-08-15 15:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 75.35%1.33fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -6.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%75.39%75.40%77.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.51%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Visit)

Prediction 24.65%4.06fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.784%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 4.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%24.61%24.60%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.654.1929.41%26.70%27.40%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Zverev (Local): 75.35%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 24.65%. For Cameron Norrie (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.19, producing a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.16%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV +3.29%E +0.784%K +1.03%G +0.034%4.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.31%E -3.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.07%E +0.261%K +0.345%G +0.004%3.1%2026-08-14 05:29
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 05:24
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 05:24
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 05:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.58%E -7.98%K -47.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -1.40%E -0.349%K -0.466%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:09
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.60%EV -8.83%E -7.30%K -42.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.40%EV -2.38%E -0.602%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 05:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.63%E -0.666%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 06:09
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -2.05%E -1.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -3.37%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.86%E -0.990%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.09%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 05:35
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.09%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.33%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 05:59
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.56%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 05:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.31%E -3.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.81%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.57%E -5.30%K -27.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.79%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:25
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:23
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:23
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -10.02%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 05:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.80%E -2.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 05:35
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 05:30
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 05:54
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 05:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.06%E -4.02%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -12.49%E -3.52%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 05:24
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.07%E -6.62%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.49%E -3.52%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 05:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.07%E -6.62%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.49%E -3.52%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 06:39
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.55%E -2.78%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.72%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 05:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.83%E -7.30%K -42.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.95%E -4.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -8.83%E -7.30%K -42.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -16.19%E -4.76%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 06:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%11.0%2026-08-14 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%11.0%2026-08-14 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%11.0%2026-08-14 07:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 73.54%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.46%15.2%2026-08-14 05:45
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-08-14 07:14

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