StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 03:35 UTC

Endstand: Alexander Zverev 2–1 Cameron Norrie

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev (Heim)

Prognose 76.65%1.30faire Quote
EV -1.13%
Vorteil -0.872%
Kelly -3.88%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.40%76.86%76.92%79.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.89%81.97%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.35%4.28faire Quote
EV +9.99%
Vorteil +2.12%
Kelly +2.69%
Wachstum +0.269%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.57%23.14%23.08%25.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.654.204.204.7127.40%23.83%23.81%21.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Zverev (Heim): 76.65%; Cameron Norrie (Auswärts): 23.35%. Für Cameron Norrie (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.28. 26 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.71 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +9.99%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.43%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.57%EV +9.99%E +2.12%K +2.69%G +0.269%3.2%2026-08-16 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224%4.1%2026-08-16 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224%4.1%2026-08-16 03:29
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +7.42%E +1.61%K +2.06%G +0.153%4.4%2026-08-16 01:49
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%2.9%2026-08-16 02:35
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%4.2%2026-08-16 03:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%4.9%2026-08-16 03:34
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%5.6%2026-08-16 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%5.6%2026-08-16 01:35
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 01:39
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 01:35
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 01:49
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:29
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.12%E +0.258%K +0.336%G +0.004%6.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-16 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.9%2026-08-16 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.749%E -0.176%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 02:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 02:35
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:24
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:49
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:54
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:50
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -2.38%E -0.570%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 21:55
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 02:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 03:10
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 03:30
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 03:28
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 03:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.89%E -1.48%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 03:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 03:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 05:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 03:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 02:50
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 02:49
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.42%E -2.72%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 03:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:24
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:29
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:29
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:43
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.13%E -0.872%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 01:43
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 03:33
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 03:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.1%2026-08-16 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-08-16 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-08-16 03:30
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-16 03:30
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%2.9%2026-08-16 03:30
Novig◎1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.34%6.0%2026-08-16 03:30