Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie

Inizio: 2026-08-16 03:35 UTC

Finale: Alexander Zverev 2–1 Cameron Norrie

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 76.65%1.30quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.872%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.40%76.86%76.92%79.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.89%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.35%4.28quota equa
EV +9.99%
Vantaggio +2.12%
Kelly +2.69%
Crescita +0.269%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.57%23.14%23.08%25.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.204.204.7127.40%23.83%23.81%21.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexander Zverev (Casa): 76.65%; Cameron Norrie (Trasferta): 23.35%. Per Cameron Norrie (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.28. 26 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.71, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.99%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.43%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.57%EV +9.99%E +2.12%K +2.69%G +0.269%3.2%2026-08-16 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224%4.1%2026-08-16 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224%4.1%2026-08-16 03:29
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +7.42%E +1.61%K +2.06%G +0.153%4.4%2026-08-16 01:49
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%2.9%2026-08-16 02:35
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%4.2%2026-08-16 03:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%4.9%2026-08-16 03:34
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%5.6%2026-08-16 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%5.6%2026-08-16 01:35
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 01:39
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 01:35
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 01:49
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074%7.7%2026-08-16 03:29
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022%5.4%2026-08-16 03:30
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.12%E +0.258%K +0.336%G +0.004%6.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-16 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.9%2026-08-16 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.749%E -0.176%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 02:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 02:35
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:24
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 01:49
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:54
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:50
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -2.38%E -0.570%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 21:55
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 02:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 03:10
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 03:30
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 03:28
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 01:44
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 03:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.89%E -1.48%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 03:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 03:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 05:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 03:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 02:50
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 02:49
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.42%E -2.72%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 03:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:24
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:29
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 03:29
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:43
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.13%E -0.872%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 01:43
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 03:33
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 03:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15%0.1%2026-08-16 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-08-16 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-08-16 03:30
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-16 03:30
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.4%2026-08-16 03:30
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%2.9%2026-08-16 03:30
Novig◎1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.34%6.0%2026-08-16 03:30