Langue:Français
Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prévision 76.65%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.872%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.40%76.86%76.92%79.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.89%81.97%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.35%4.28cote équitable
EV +9.99%
Avantage +2.12%
Kelly +2.69%
Croissance +0.269%
avec la cote maximale 4.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.57%23.14%23.08%25.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.204.204.7127.40%23.83%23.81%21.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 76.65% ; Cameron Norrie (Visiteur) : 23.35%. Pour Cameron Norrie (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.28. 26 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.71, soit une espérance positive de +9.99%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.43%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.57%EV +9.99%E +2.12%K +2.69%G +0.269% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +7.42%E +1.61%K +2.06%G +0.153% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 03:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 03:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.12%E +0.258%K +0.336%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.749%E -0.176%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -2.38%E -0.570%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 03:28 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 03:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.89%E -1.48%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 03:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.42%E -2.72%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.13%E -0.872%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 01:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 03:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.34% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |