Idioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 76.65%1.30momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.872%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.40%76.86%76.92%79.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.2985.47%81.89%81.97%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cameron Norrie (Visitante)
Predicción 23.35%4.28momio equitativo
EV +9.99%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +0.269%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.57%23.14%23.08%25.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.204.204.7127.40%23.83%23.81%21.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Zverev (Local): 76.65%; Cameron Norrie (Visitante): 23.35%. Para Cameron Norrie (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.28. 26 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.71, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.99%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.43%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.57%EV +9.99%E +2.12%K +2.69%G +0.269% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +9.06%E +1.94%K +2.47%G +0.224% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +7.42%E +1.61%K +2.06%G +0.153% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 03:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 03:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.09%E +1.13%K +1.45%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.75%E +0.626%K +0.810%G +0.022% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.12%E +0.258%K +0.336%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +0.418%E +0.097%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.26%E -6.00%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.749%E -0.176%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 01:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.92%E -0.456%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -2.38%E -0.570%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 03:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -3.08%E -0.743%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -3.32%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 03:28 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.72%E -4.65%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.25%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 01:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 03:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.89%E -1.48%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 03:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.02%E -6.69%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.59%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.66%E -2.09%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 02:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.42%E -2.72%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 03:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.26%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.13%E -0.872%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 01:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.43%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.49%E -5.32%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -13.59%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 03:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.96%E -4.00%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.76%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.15% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.66% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.34% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 03:30 |