Språk:Svenska
Alex Michelsen v Jesper De Jong
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Alex Michelsen (Hemma)
Prognos 80.29%1.25rättvist odds
EV -1.25%
Fördel -1.01%
Kelly -5.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.23
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.07%80.16%80.15%81.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.191.191.2387.72%84.23%84.03%81.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Borta)
Prognos 19.71%5.07rättvist odds
EV +3.50%
Fördel +0.666%
Kelly +0.822%
Tillväxt +0.029%
med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.48%19.84%19.85%22.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.14%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex Michelsen (Hemma): 80.29%; Jesper De Jong (Borta): 19.71%. För Jesper De Jong (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.07. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.50%.
Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.50%E +0.666%K +0.822%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.538%E +0.106%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -0.842%E -0.167%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.47%E -7.43%K -60.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -4.59%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -1.25%E -1.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.00%EV -14.05%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.05%E -1.68%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.18%E -4.68%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (6)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |