StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen v Jesper De Jong

Aanvang: 2026-08-14 18:00 UTC

Eindstand: Alex Michelsen 2–0 Jesper De Jong

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

62 wedaanbieders (20 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen (Thuis)

Prognose 80.29%1.25margevrije odds
EV -1.25%
Voordeel -1.01%
Kelly -5.42%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.23

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
77.07%80.16%80.15%81.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.141.191.191.2387.72%84.23%84.03%81.30%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Jesper De Jong (Uit)

Prognose 19.71%5.07margevrije odds
EV +3.50%
Voordeel +0.666%
Kelly +0.822%
Groei +0.029%

bij maximale odds 5.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
18.48%19.84%19.85%22.93%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.14%21.05%19.05%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Alex Michelsen (Thuis): 80.29%; Jesper De Jong (Uit): 19.71%. Voor Jesper De Jong (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.07. 3 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 5.25, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +3.50%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (62 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.50%E +0.666%K +0.822%G +0.029%3.1%2026-08-14 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006%2.8%2026-08-14 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.538%E +0.106%K +0.131%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-14 11:29
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -0.842%E -0.167%K -0.209%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:58
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.47%E -7.43%K -60.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 17:14
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:30
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -4.59%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:10
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:10
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:14
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 20:20
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:19
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 14:10
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:54
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:30
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 15:44
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 05:45
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 16:50
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 15:44
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 15:44
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -1.25%E -1.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.00%EV -14.05%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:44
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:44
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.05%E -1.68%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.18%E -4.68%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
ProphetX◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59%5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41%0.1%2026-08-14 17:40
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95%0.3%2026-08-14 17:45
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-14 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-14 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-08-14 17:10