Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Jesper De Jong
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 80.29%1.25kurs godziwy
EV -1.25%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -5.42%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
77.07%80.16%80.15%81.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.191.191.2387.72%84.23%84.03%81.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jesper De Jong (Goście)
Prognoza 19.71%5.07kurs godziwy
EV +3.50%
Przewaga +0.666%
Kelly +0.822%
Wzrost +0.029%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.48%19.84%19.85%22.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.14%21.05%19.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 80.29%; Jesper De Jong (Goście): 19.71%. Dla wyniku Jesper De Jong (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.07. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.50%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.50%E +0.666%K +0.822%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.538%E +0.106%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -0.842%E -0.167%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.47%E -7.43%K -60.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -4.59%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -1.25%E -1.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.00%EV -14.05%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.05%E -1.68%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.18%E -4.68%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |