اللغة:العربية
Alex Michelsen v Jesper De Jong
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Alex Michelsen (المضيف)
التنبؤ 80.29%1.25السعر العادل
EV -1.25%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -5.42%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.07%80.16%80.15%81.52%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.191.191.2387.72%84.23%84.03%81.30%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
Jesper De Jong (الضيف)
التنبؤ 19.71%5.07السعر العادل
EV +3.50%
الأفضلية +0.666%
Kelly +0.822%
النمو +0.029%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.48%19.84%19.85%22.93%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.14%21.05%19.05%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة) احتمالات سوق نتيجة المباراة كالآتي: Alex Michelsen (المضيف): 80.29%؛ Jesper De Jong (الضيف): 19.71%. بالنسبة إلى Jesper De Jong (الضيف)، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره 5.07. عرضت 3 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر 5.25، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها +3.50%.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.50%E +0.666%K +0.822%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.538%E +0.106%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -0.842%E -0.167%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.47%E -7.43%K -60.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -4.59%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -1.25%E -1.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.00%EV -14.05%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.05%E -1.68%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.18%E -4.68%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |