Langue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Jesper De Jong
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 80.29%1.25cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -5.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.07%80.16%80.15%81.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.191.2387.72%84.23%84.03%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.71%5.07cote équitable
EV +3.50%
Avantage +0.666%
Kelly +0.822%
Croissance +0.029%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.48%19.84%19.85%22.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.14%21.05%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 80.29% ; Jesper De Jong (Visiteur) : 19.71%. Pour Jesper De Jong (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.07. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.50%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.50%E +0.666%K +0.822%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.538%E +0.106%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -0.842%E -0.167%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.47%E -7.43%K -60.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -4.59%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -1.25%E -1.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.00%EV -14.05%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.05%E -1.68%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.18%E -4.68%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |