Lingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Jesper De Jong
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 80.29%1.25quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -5.42%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.07%80.16%80.15%81.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.191.191.2387.72%84.23%84.03%81.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Trasferta)
Previsione 19.71%5.07quota equa
EV +3.50%
Vantaggio +0.666%
Kelly +0.822%
Crescita +0.029%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.48%19.84%19.85%22.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.734.755.2524.39%21.14%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 80.29%; Jesper De Jong (Trasferta): 19.71%. Per Jesper De Jong (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.07. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.50%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +3.50%E +0.666%K +0.822%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +1.52%E +0.296%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.538%E +0.106%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -0.842%E -0.167%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.43%E -0.287%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.47%E -7.43%K -60.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.40%E -0.695%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.39%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -2.85%E -2.36%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -4.59%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.38%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.35%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.32%E -2.03%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.46%E -3.75%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.06%E -5.18%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.00%EV -1.25%E -1.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.00%EV -14.05%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.26%E -4.46%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.64%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.66%E -3.05%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.05%E -1.68%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -19.18%E -4.68%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.59% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.41% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |