Language:English
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Valentin Vacherot
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV -0.714%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.84%35.97%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.7641.67%37.98%37.74%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Visit)
Prediction 64.03%1.56fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%64.16%64.03%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.54%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 35.97%; Valentin Vacherot (Visit): 64.03%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -0.714%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -0.714%E -0.259%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.52%E -4.47%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.08%E -6.40%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.15%E -0.792%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.51%E -0.927%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.04%E -1.33%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |