Langue:Français
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Valentin Vacherot
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prévision 35.97%2.78cote équitable
EV -0.714%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.406%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.05%35.84%35.97%38.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.652.7641.67%37.98%37.74%36.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Visiteur)
Prévision 64.03%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.22%64.16%64.03%65.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.54%67.57%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local) : 35.97% ; Valentin Vacherot (Visiteur) : 64.03%. Pour Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.76, pour une espérance de -0.714% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -0.714%E -0.259%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.52%E -4.47%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.08%E -6.40%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.15%E -0.792%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.51%E -0.927%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.04%E -1.33%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |