语言:简体中文
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Valentin Vacherot
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (主队)
预测 35.97%2.78公平赔率
EV -0.714%
优势 -0.259%
Kelly -0.406%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.76
博彩公司预测分布
34.05%35.84%35.97%38.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.632.652.7641.67%37.98%37.74%36.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
Valentin Vacherot (客队)
预测 64.03%1.56公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -3.85%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
61.22%64.16%64.03%65.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.54%67.57%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (主队)：35.97%；Valentin Vacherot (客队)：64.03%。 对于“Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.76，期望值为-0.714%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -0.714%E -0.259%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.52%E -4.47%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.08%E -6.40%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.15%E -0.792%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.51%E -0.927%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.04%E -1.33%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |