StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Valentin Vacherot

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 2–0 Valentin Vacherot

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Hemma)

Prognos 35.97%2.78rättvist odds
EV -0.714%
Fördel -0.259%
Kelly -0.406%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.76

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.05%35.84%35.97%38.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.632.652.7641.67%37.98%37.74%36.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Valentin Vacherot (Borta)

Prognos 64.03%1.56rättvist odds
EV -2.04%
Fördel -1.33%
Kelly -3.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.22%64.16%64.03%65.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.54%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Hemma): 35.97%; Valentin Vacherot (Borta): 64.03%. För Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.78. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.76, med väntevärdet -0.714%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -0.714%E -0.259%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.52%E -4.47%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.08%E -6.40%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:49
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.15%E -0.792%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 16:44
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.51%E -0.927%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 16:44
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 16:45
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 16:40
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.04%E -1.33%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:44
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 16:44
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:44
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-15 16:55
Novig◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-08-15 16:50
ProphetX◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-15 16:50
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-08-15 16:55