Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Valentin Vacherot

Início: 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 2–0 Valentin Vacherot

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Previsão 35.97%2.78odd justa
EV -0.714%
Vantagem -0.259%
Kelly -0.406%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.05%35.84%35.97%38.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.632.652.7641.67%37.98%37.74%36.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Valentin Vacherot (Visitante)

Previsão 64.03%1.56odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -3.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.22%64.16%64.03%65.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.54%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 35.97%; Valentin Vacherot (Visitante): 64.03%. Para Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.78. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.76, com valor esperado de -0.714%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -0.714%E -0.259%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -6.52%E -4.47%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.07%E -0.391%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.08%E -6.40%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:49
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.15%E -0.792%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 16:44
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.51%E -0.927%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 16:44
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 16:45
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 16:40
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.36%E -7.40%K -25.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.32%E -2.20%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.95%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.31%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.04%E -1.33%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:44
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.60%E -3.09%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:40
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:39
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.75%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.80%E -5.42%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.27%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.88%E -4.00%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 16:44
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.07%E -4.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:44
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -5.69%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -2.68%E -1.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-15 16:55
Novig◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-08-15 16:50
ProphetX◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-15 16:50
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%1.7%2026-08-15 16:55