Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yannick Hanfmann v Nuno Borges

2026-08-06 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yannick Hanfmann (Local)

Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -0.871%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.50%41.62%41.69%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.40%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nuno Borges (Visit)

Prediction 58.35%1.71fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.07%58.38%58.31%59.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.631.6764.94%61.64%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 41.65%; Nuno Borges (Visit): 58.35%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -0.871%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.871%E -0.366%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.70%E -0.722%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.12%E -0.902%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.37%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:40
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:53
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.39%E -5.35%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.45%E -2.40%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.35%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.35%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.70%E -2.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.72%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.54%E -3.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:20
ReBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.54%E -3.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 19:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.35%K -14.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.98%E -5.75%K -16.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -10.14%E -6.59%K -18.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-05 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-08-05 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-08-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-08-05 19:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%10.4%2026-08-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 32.29%1.03I 97.09%NM 67.71%43.4%2026-08-05 18:15
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 60.15%1.60I 62.50%NM 39.85%56.8%2026-08-05 19:45