Lingua:Italiano
Yannick Hanfmann v Nuno Borges
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Yannick Hanfmann (Casa)
Previsione 40.17%2.49quota equa
EV +0.431%
Vantaggio +0.173%
Kelly +0.288%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.97%40.08%40.05%41.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.49%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Nuno Borges (Trasferta)
Previsione 59.83%1.67quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%59.92%59.95%62.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.14%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Yannick Hanfmann (Casa): 40.17%; Nuno Borges (Trasferta): 59.83%. Per Yannick Hanfmann (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.49. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.431%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -0.774%E -0.313%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.98%E -0.811%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.98%E -0.811%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.48%E -1.52%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.99%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 19:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.00%E -2.56%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 19:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |