Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yannick Hanfmann v Nuno Borges

2026-08-06 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yannick Hanfmann (Local)

Prévision 41.61%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.979%
Avantage -0.411%
Kelly -0.709%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.50%41.59%41.61%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.242.3847.62%44.42%44.64%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nuno Borges (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.39%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.41%58.39%59.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.621.631.6764.94%61.60%61.35%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Yannick Hanfmann (Local) : 41.61% ; Nuno Borges (Visiteur) : 58.39%. Pour Yannick Hanfmann (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.40. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.38, pour une espérance de -0.979% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.979%E -0.411%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -1.81%E -0.767%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:40
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 20:15
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:53
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.72%E -2.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:25
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.64%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:20
ReBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.64%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -7.15%E -4.50%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:20
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:55
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 19:24
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.30%E -4.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.96%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.90%E -5.71%K -15.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.63%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -10.07%E -6.54%K -18.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-05 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-08-05 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%10.4%2026-08-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 32.29%1.03I 97.09%NM 67.71%43.4%2026-08-05 18:15
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 60.15%1.60I 62.50%NM 39.85%56.8%2026-08-05 20:20