Język:Polski
Yannick Hanfmann v Nuno Borges
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 40.17%2.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.431%
Przewaga +0.173%
Kelly +0.288%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.97%40.08%40.05%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.49%42.55%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Nuno Borges (Goście)
Prognoza 59.83%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -2.48%
Przewaga -1.52%
Kelly -3.94%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%59.92%59.95%62.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.14%63.29%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze): 40.17%; Nuno Borges (Goście): 59.83%. Dla wyniku Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.49. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.431%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -0.774%E -0.313%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.98%E -0.811%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.98%E -0.811%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.48%E -1.52%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.99%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 19:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 18:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.00%E -2.56%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 19:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:39 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |