Language:English
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prediction 18.20%5.50fair odd
EV +18.28%
Edge +2.81%
Kelly +3.32%
Growth +0.608%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%18.15%18.16%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.085.006.5022.73%19.68%20.00%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Fritz (Visit)
Prediction 81.80%1.22fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -9.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%81.85%81.84%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.78%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 18.20%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 81.80%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.28%E +2.81%K +3.32%G +0.608% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 05:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +3.72%E +0.653%K +0.793%G +0.030% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.91%E +0.340%K +0.414%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.73%E -0.321%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.71%EV -1.92%E -0.356%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.29%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV -2.83%E -0.529%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -6.10%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -7.92%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.96%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 04:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.74%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.65%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 17:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -19.93%E -4.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |