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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz
Head to Head
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prediction 17.08%5.86fair odd
EV +5.87%
Edge +0.946%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%17.17%17.17%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.455.506.2021.05%18.36%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Fritz (Visit)
Prediction 82.92%1.21fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -6.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.10%82.83%82.83%84.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1990.09%87.68%87.72%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 17.08%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 82.92%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.20, producing a positive expected value of +5.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +5.87%E +0.946%K +1.13%G +0.066% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.30%E +0.546%K +0.654%G +0.022% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV +0.914%E +0.155%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.965%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.65%E -0.286%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| GTbets | 5.73I 17.45%NM 17.20%EV -2.16%E -0.377%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.80%EV -1.32%E -1.11%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -2.67%E -0.469%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Betsson | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| theScore Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.79%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| ReBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| betano_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.04%E -3.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -18.04%E -3.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.89%E -3.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.15%E -1.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.89%E -3.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.15%E -1.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.13% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.87% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |