Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 18:59 UTC

Score final : Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–0 Taylor Fritz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prévision 18.20%5.50cote équitable
EV +18.28%
Avantage +2.81%
Kelly +3.32%
Croissance +0.608%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%18.15%18.16%21.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.085.006.5022.73%19.68%20.00%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.80%1.22cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -9.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%81.85%81.84%85.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.78%85.47%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local) : 18.20% ; Taylor Fritz (Visiteur) : 81.80%. Pour Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.50. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +18.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.28%E +2.81%K +3.32%G +0.608%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 05:44
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +3.72%E +0.653%K +0.793%G +0.030%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.91%E +0.340%K +0.414%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.73%E -0.321%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:39
DraftKings🎯5.39I 18.55%NM 17.71%EV -1.92%E -0.356%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.29%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Pinnacle🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV -2.83%E -0.529%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 18:30
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:10
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:20
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 18:04
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:20
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Fanatics🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:20
ReBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:20
NordicBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:20
Betsson🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:34
1xBet🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -6.10%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:09
LeoVegas🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 17:15
GTbets🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -7.92%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.96%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 18:10
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 17:09
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 17:10
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:14
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:20
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:15
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:20
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:20
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 04:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.74%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.65%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:20
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:20
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:40
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:15
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 17:11
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 17:10
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -19.93%E -4.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 17:30
Matchbook◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 18:05
ProphetX◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%1.0%2026-08-05 18:35
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%1.5%2026-08-05 18:30
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%1.7%2026-08-05 18:35