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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz
Resultado del partido
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Predicción 17.08%5.86momio equitativo
EV +5.87%
Ventaja +0.946%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.42%17.17%17.17%19.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.455.506.2021.05%18.36%18.18%16.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Taylor Fritz (Visitante)
Predicción 82.92%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -6.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.10%82.83%82.83%84.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.141.1990.09%87.68%87.72%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 17.08%; Taylor Fritz (Visitante): 82.92%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.86. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.87%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +5.87%E +0.946%K +1.13%G +0.066% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +3.30%E +0.546%K +0.654%G +0.022% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coolbet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.45%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.17%EV +0.914%E +0.155%K +0.186%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:54 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.965%E -0.166%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.65%E -0.286%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.82%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| GTbets | 5.73I 17.45%NM 17.20%EV -2.16%E -0.377%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.80%EV -1.32%E -1.11%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -2.67%E -0.469%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Betsson | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -4.38%E -0.782%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -6.09%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| theScore Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.79%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -10.36%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.47%E -4.79%K -39.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| ReBet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.21%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -12.92%E -2.53%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.64%E -4.03%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| betano_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.62%E -2.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.04%E -3.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -18.04%E -3.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -7.95%E -7.17%K -72.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.89%E -3.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.15%E -1.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.89%E -3.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.15%E -1.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-05 02:30 |
| ProphetX | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |