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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Хозяева)
Прогноз 18.20%5.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +18.28%
Преимущество +2.81%
Kelly +3.32%
Рост +0.608%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.70%18.15%18.16%21.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.405.085.006.5022.73%19.68%20.00%15.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Taylor Fritz (Гости)
Прогноз 81.80%1.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.84%
Преимущество -1.53%
Kelly -9.18%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.57%81.85%81.84%85.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.78%85.47%83.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Хозяева): 18.20%; Taylor Fritz (Гости): 81.80%. Для исхода «Thiago Agustin Tirante (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.50. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +18.28%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.28%E +2.81%K +3.32%G +0.608% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 05:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +3.72%E +0.653%K +0.793%G +0.030% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.91%E +0.340%K +0.414%G +0.008% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.73%E -0.321%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.71%EV -1.92%E -0.356%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.29%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV -2.83%E -0.529%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -6.10%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -7.92%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.96%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 04:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.74%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.65%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 17:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -19.93%E -4.53%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 18:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |