Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Taylor Fritz

Início: 2026-08-05 18:59 UTC

Final: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–0 Taylor Fritz

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Previsão 18.20%5.50odd justa
EV +18.28%
Vantagem +2.81%
Kelly +3.32%
Crescimento +0.608%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.70%18.15%18.16%21.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.085.006.5022.73%19.68%20.00%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Fritz (Visitante)

Previsão 81.80%1.22odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -9.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.57%81.85%81.84%85.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.78%85.47%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 18.20%; Taylor Fritz (Visitante): 81.80%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.50. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +18.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +18.28%E +2.81%K +3.32%G +0.608%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 05:44
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV +3.72%E +0.653%K +0.793%G +0.030%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +1.91%E +0.340%K +0.414%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.73%E -0.321%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:39
DraftKings🎯5.39I 18.55%NM 17.71%EV -1.92%E -0.356%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.29%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.38I 18.59%NM 17.86%EV -2.10%E -0.390%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.14%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Pinnacle🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV -2.83%E -0.529%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 18:30
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 17:10
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.55%E -0.671%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:20
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 18:04
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:20
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:20
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.46%E -0.850%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 15:20
Fanatics🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 16:20
ReBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:20
NordicBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:20
Betsson🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.37%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:34
1xBet🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -6.10%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:09
LeoVegas🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.19%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 17:15
GTbets🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -7.92%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.96%EV -2.65%E -2.23%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 18:10
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 17:09
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 17:10
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:14
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:20
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:15
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:20
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.93%E -5.15%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:20
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.01%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.74%E -5.92%K -48.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 04:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.74%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.65%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:20
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:20
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.29%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.11%E -4.40%K -31.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:40
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 17:15
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 17:11
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.11%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.29%E -3.67%K -25.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 17:10
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -19.93%E -4.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -1.84%E -1.53%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 17:30
Matchbook◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-05 18:05
ProphetX◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%1.0%2026-08-05 18:35
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%1.5%2026-08-05 18:30
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%1.7%2026-08-05 18:35