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Raphael Collignon v Alexei Popyrin
Head to Head
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Prediction 61.91%1.62fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%62.00%61.90%62.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.76%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexei Popyrin (Visit)
Prediction 38.09%2.63fair odd
EV -0.961%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.07%38.00%38.10%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.29%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Raphael Collignon (Local): 61.91%; Alexei Popyrin (Visit): 38.09%. For Alexei Popyrin (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -0.961%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 00:30 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.10%E -0.819%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.91%E -2.39%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.38%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.38%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 01:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.74% | 10.3% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.14% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86% | 12.2% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.14% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86% | 12.2% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.14% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86% | 12.2% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |