StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Raphael Collignon v Alexei Popyrin

2026-08-05 17:20 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

34 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Raphael Collignon (Hemma)

Prognos 61.86%1.62rättvist odds
EV -3.50%
Fördel -2.24%
Kelly -6.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.22%61.97%61.89%62.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.79%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Borta)

Prognos 38.14%2.62rättvist odds
EV -0.841%
Fördel -0.323%
Kelly -0.526%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.07%38.03%38.11%38.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.33%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Raphael Collignon (Hemma): 61.86%; Alexei Popyrin (Borta): 38.14%. För Alexei Popyrin (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.62. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.60, med väntevärdet -0.841%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (34 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.65%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.841%E -0.323%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:09
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:30
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:43
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:09
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:10
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.27%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:10
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:10
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:19
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 22:10
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.60%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 22:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.98%E -0.772%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:25
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:10
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.89%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 00:25
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.80%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 23:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:10
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.09%E -3.36%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:10
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 23:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.44%E -5.71%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 22:13
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.44%E -5.71%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 22:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-08-05 02:20
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%3.9%2026-08-05 02:05
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.9%2026-08-05 02:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.74%10.3%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 47.88%1.47I 68.03%NM 52.12%30.5%2026-08-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 47.88%1.47I 68.03%NM 52.12%30.5%2026-08-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 47.88%1.47I 68.03%NM 52.12%30.5%2026-08-05 02:15