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Raphael Collignon v Alexei Popyrin
Resultado del partido
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Predicción 61.86%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -6.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.22%61.97%61.89%62.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.79%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexei Popyrin (Visitante)
Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.841%
Ventaja -0.323%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.07%38.03%38.11%38.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.33%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Raphael Collignon (Local): 61.86%; Alexei Popyrin (Visitante): 38.14%. Para Alexei Popyrin (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, con un valor esperado de -0.841%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.50%E -2.24%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.841%E -0.323%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 00:30 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.73%E -3.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.27%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.35%E -3.50%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.60%E -0.622%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -1.98%E -0.772%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.75%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.89%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.80%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.97%E -3.93%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.09%E -3.36%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.21%E -4.80%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.44%E -5.71%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.44%E -5.71%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 22:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 02:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.74% | 10.3% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 47.88% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 52.12% | 30.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 47.88% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 52.12% | 30.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 47.88% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 52.12% | 30.5% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |