Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Raphael Collignon v Alexei Popyrin

Inizio: 2026-08-05 20:23 UTC

Finale: Raphael Collignon 0–2 Alexei Popyrin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Raphael Collignon (Casa)

Previsione 60.31%1.66quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%60.29%60.28%61.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.571.571.6365.79%63.56%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.69%2.52quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.93%39.71%39.72%41.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.382.402.4544.44%42.03%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Raphael Collignon (Casa): 60.31%; Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta): 39.69%. Per Raphael Collignon (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.66. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.63, con un valore atteso del -1.69%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -1.69%E -1.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -1.69%E -1.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 19:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.29%E -1.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.56%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.29%E -1.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.29%E -1.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.71%E -4.76%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.89%E -1.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.77%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.50%E -2.19%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.77%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 17:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.50%E -2.19%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.50%E -2.19%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.50%E -2.19%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:45
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 20:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:44
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 12:35
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.10%E -2.58%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.96%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:44
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:00
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 12:53
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.70%E -2.98%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:05
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.36%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.36%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 11:45
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.36%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.36%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 11:45
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 17:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 11:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 17:59
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:00
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 18:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.55%E -2.33%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 11:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 11:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 11:05
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.75%E -1.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 04:14
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 19:45
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 20:03
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.72%E -3.79%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.74%E -2.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 11:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-05 20:05
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-05 19:45
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-05 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-05 20:00
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-08-05 20:00