預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils

開賽時間: 2026-08-11 18:00 UTC

最終賽果: Rafael Jodar 2–0 Arthur Fils

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar (主隊)

預測 56.48%1.77公平賠率
EV -2.86%
優勢 -1.66%
Kelly -3.97%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.72

博彩公司預測分布
55.12%56.49%56.43%58.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.601.681.691.7262.50%59.41%59.17%58.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Arthur Fils (客隊)

預測 43.52%2.30公平賠率
EV +0.103%
優勢 +0.045%
Kelly +0.079%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.30

博彩公司預測分布
41.03%43.51%43.57%44.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.182.202.3047.62%45.83%45.45%43.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Rafael Jodar (主隊):56.48%;Arthur Fils (客隊):43.52%。 對於「Arthur Fils (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.298的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.300,對應+0.103%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 04:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 04:45
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.20%E -0.530%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.64%E -0.725%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 17:34
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 17:45
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 08:44
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 14:45
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 16:04
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 17:34
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 08:10
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 08:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 17:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 07:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 14:44
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 05:34
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 17:54
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:34
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 09:35
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 09:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 17:19
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 12:10
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:09
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 12:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 12:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 21:50
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 12:10
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 12:09
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-11 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-11 17:45
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-11 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-11 17:55
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-11 17:55
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-08-11 17:55
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-08-11 17:45