Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils

2026-08-10 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.69%2.01kurs godziwy
EV -1.62%
Przewaga -0.817%
Kelly -1.65%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.98

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.68%49.68%49.60%51.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.30%52.36%50.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arthur Fils (Goście)

Prognoza 50.31%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -1.39%
Przewaga -0.708%
Kelly -1.45%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.96

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.56%50.32%50.40%51.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.811.871.871.9655.25%53.35%53.48%51.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 49.69%; Arthur Fils (Goście): 50.31%. Dla wyniku Arthur Fils (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.99. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.96, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.39%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.62%E -0.817%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 06:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -2.61%E -1.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 07:04
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.91%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 07:34
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 05:35
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 06:06
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 05:19
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 07:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.40%E -1.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 07:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:29
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 07:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 05:45
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 05:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 05:44
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 08:05
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 05:44
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 05:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 07:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.42%E -3.45%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 05:35
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 05:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 05:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 05:35
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 05:49
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 05:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 05:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 08:00
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 08:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 07:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 05:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 05:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 05:35
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 06:55
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 06:54
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.39%E -0.708%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 05:49
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 05:45
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.57%E -5.26%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 05:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.56%E -5.87%K -13.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 07:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-09 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-09 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-09 08:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-09 08:40
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-08-09 08:10
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-08-09 07:50
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.55%10.5%2026-08-09 08:35