Sprache:Deutsch
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Rafael Jodar (Heim)
Prognose 56.48%1.77faire Quote
EV -2.86%
Vorteil -1.66%
Kelly -3.97%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.12%56.49%56.43%58.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.681.691.7262.50%59.41%59.17%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Auswärts)
Prognose 43.52%2.30faire Quote
EV +0.103%
Vorteil +0.045%
Kelly +0.079%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.03%43.51%43.57%44.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.182.202.3047.62%45.83%45.45%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 56.48%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 43.52%. Für Arthur Fils (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.298. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.300 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.103%.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 04:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.20%E -0.530%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.64%E -0.725%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 05:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 09:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |