Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 56.48%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%56.49%56.43%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.691.7262.50%59.41%59.17%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.52%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.103%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.079%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%43.51%43.57%44.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.182.202.3047.62%45.83%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 56.48% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 43.52%. Pour Arthur Fils (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.298. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.300, soit une espérance positive de +0.103%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 04:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.20%E -0.530%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.64%E -0.725%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 05:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 09:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |