Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 56.48%1.77momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.49%56.43%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.691.7262.50%59.41%59.17%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 43.52%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.079%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%43.51%43.57%44.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.202.3047.62%45.83%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rafael Jodar (Local): 56.48%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 43.52%. Para Arthur Fils (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.298. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.300, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.103%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.64%E -6.02%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.103%E +0.045%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 04:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -0.768%E -0.337%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.20%E -0.530%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.64%E -0.725%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 05:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.51%E -5.25%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.07%E -5.63%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.68%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 09:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 12:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |