Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Arthur Fils
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 49.69%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.68%49.60%51.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.30%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 50.31%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.708%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.56%50.32%50.40%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.871.871.9655.25%53.35%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 49.69%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 50.31%. Para Arthur Fils (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.96, con un valor esperado de -1.39%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.62%E -0.817%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 06:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -2.61%E -1.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.91%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 06:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 05:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 05:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.11%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 07:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.61%E -1.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.40%E -1.77%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 07:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 05:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 05:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 05:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.90%E -2.04%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 05:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 05:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 07:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.42%E -3.45%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 05:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.10%E -2.67%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 05:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 05:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 05:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.88%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.59%E -3.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 07:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.16%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 05:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 06:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.08%E -3.79%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.93%E -4.33%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 06:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.39%E -0.708%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 05:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.74%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 05:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.57%E -5.26%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -8.93%E -4.94%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 05:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.56%E -5.87%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 07:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 08:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 08:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 08:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 07:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.55% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 08:35 |