Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Sonego v Tallon Griekspoor

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Prediction 48.79%2.05fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.78%48.81%49.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.941.932.0052.36%51.62%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)

Prediction 51.21%1.95fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%51.22%51.19%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.871.9055.56%53.63%53.48%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 48.79%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 51.21%. For Lorenzo Sonego (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.73%E -1.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 17:14
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.88%E -1.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -2.70%E -1.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 18:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 14:09
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.21%E -1.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:35
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.21%E -1.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:29
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:54
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 14:09
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 14:10
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 14:15
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:20
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:20
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:24
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:39
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:45
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 17:14
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 17:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-08-01 22:10