Language:English
Lorenzo Sonego v Tallon Griekspoor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Prediction 46.71%2.14fair odd
EV +0.889%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.766%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.49%46.71%49.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1652.36%48.92%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)
Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.13%53.51%53.29%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.9058.82%56.59%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 46.71%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 53.29%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.26%E +0.661%K +1.39%G +0.018% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 18:23 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.889%E +0.411%K +0.766%G +0.007% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.45%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.87%E -5.19%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
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