Idioma:Español
Lorenzo Sonego v Tallon Griekspoor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Predicción 46.71%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.889%
Ventaja +0.411%
Kelly +0.766%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.49%46.71%49.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1652.36%48.92%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)
Predicción 53.29%1.88momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.661%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.13%53.51%53.29%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.9058.82%56.59%56.50%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 46.71%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 53.29%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.88. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.26%E +0.661%K +1.39%G +0.018% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 18:23 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.889%E +0.411%K +0.766%G +0.007% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.45%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.87%E -5.19%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |