Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lorenzo Sonego v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-08-04 18:30 UTC

Final: Lorenzo Sonego 0–2 Tallon Griekspoor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Previsão 46.71%2.14odd justa
EV +0.889%
Vantagem +0.411%
Kelly +0.766%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%46.49%46.71%49.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.042.052.1652.36%48.92%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 53.29%1.88odd justa
EV +1.26%
Vantagem +0.661%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.13%53.51%53.29%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.9058.82%56.59%56.50%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 46.71%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 53.29%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.88. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.26%E +0.661%K +1.39%G +0.018%5.0%2026-08-03 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:10
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:09
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:10
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:49
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:09
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:09
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:23
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:18
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 18:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.889%E +0.411%K +0.766%G +0.007%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 18:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 18:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.45%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:10
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 18:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:19
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.87%E -5.19%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-04 18:25
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-08-04 18:25
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-08-04 18:25