StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lorenzo Sonego v Tallon Griekspoor

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 18:30 UTC

Endstand: Lorenzo Sonego 0–2 Tallon Griekspoor

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lorenzo Sonego (Heim)

Prognose 46.71%2.14faire Quote
EV +0.889%
Vorteil +0.411%
Kelly +0.766%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.73%46.49%46.71%49.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.912.042.052.1652.36%48.92%48.78%46.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.29%1.88faire Quote
EV +1.26%
Vorteil +0.661%
Kelly +1.39%
Wachstum +0.018%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.13%53.51%53.29%55.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.701.771.771.9058.82%56.59%56.50%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Lorenzo Sonego (Heim): 46.71%; Tallon Griekspoor (Auswärts): 53.29%. Für Tallon Griekspoor (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.88. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.26%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.26%E +0.661%K +1.39%G +0.018%5.0%2026-08-03 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:10
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:09
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:10
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 17:49
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:09
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:09
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:23
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:18
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 18:09
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.889%E +0.411%K +0.766%G +0.007%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 18:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 18:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.45%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:10
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 18:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:19
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 18:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.87%E -5.19%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 18:25
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-04 18:25
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-08-04 18:25
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-08-04 18:25