Язык:Русский
Lorenzo Sonego v Tallon Griekspoor
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Lorenzo Sonego (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.71%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.889%
Преимущество +0.411%
Kelly +0.766%
Рост +0.007%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.16
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.73%46.49%46.71%49.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.042.052.1652.36%48.92%48.78%46.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tallon Griekspoor (Гости)
Прогноз 53.29%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.26%
Преимущество +0.661%
Kelly +1.39%
Рост +0.018%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.13%53.51%53.29%55.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.771.771.9058.82%56.59%56.50%52.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Lorenzo Sonego (Хозяева): 46.71%; Tallon Griekspoor (Гости): 53.29%. Для исхода «Tallon Griekspoor (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.88. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.26%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -10.79%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +1.26%E +0.661%K +1.39%G +0.018% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 17:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.31%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.99%E -4.05%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 18:23 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.72%E -2.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +0.889%E +0.411%K +0.766%G +0.007% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.21%E -3.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.58%E -3.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.92%E -4.57%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.422%E +0.196%K +0.367%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.45%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.34%E -4.85%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.91%E -0.911%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.87%E -5.19%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 18:25 |