Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Learner Tien v Gael Monfils

2026-08-06 00:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Learner Tien (Local)

Prediction 71.36%1.40fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.47%71.34%72.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.47%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gael Monfils (Visit)

Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd
EV +0.257%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%28.53%28.66%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.35%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Learner Tien (Local): 71.36%; Gael Monfils (Visit): 28.64%. For Gael Monfils (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.257%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.38%E -3.27%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.257%E +0.074%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 19:14
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.67%E -2.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.17%E -0.341%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 12:00
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -3.67%E -2.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -2.03%E -0.595%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 09:45
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:58
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:04
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:49
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.52%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.38%E -7.39%K -34.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.61%E -0.767%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.38%E -3.27%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:55
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.38%E -3.27%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.38%E -3.27%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.04%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 12:00
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.67%E -2.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 16:00
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.90%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.38%E -3.27%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:35
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:14
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:14
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:14
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:40
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 07:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 09:44
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:50
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:09
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:58
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:44
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 12:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:45
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 08:35
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.98%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.10%E -3.83%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.81%E -4.40%K -18.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 09:44
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 16:43
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.24%E -5.57%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.77%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 17:15
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.67%E -2.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.67%E -2.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:45
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.95%E -6.16%K -27.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-04 20:55
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.53%E -1.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.53%E -1.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:25
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.96%E -2.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.67%E -6.77%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.50%E -5.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-04 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-04 22:15
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-04 22:20
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-04 21:50
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-08-04 21:40