Language:English
Learner Tien v Gael Monfils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 70.95%1.41fair odd
EV -0.674%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%70.76%70.88%72.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.351.341.4078.74%74.12%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gael Monfils (Visit)
Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -0.638%
Edge -0.187%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%29.24%29.12%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.243.4234.48%31.39%30.86%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 70.95%; Gael Monfils (Visit): 29.05%. For Gael Monfils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -0.638%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.80%E -2.05%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -14.29%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 06:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 09:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.638%E -0.187%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.48%E -6.57%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.90%E -7.79%K -36.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |