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Learner Tien v Gael Monfils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Learner Tien (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.95%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.674%
Преимущество -0.482%
Kelly -1.69%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%70.76%70.88%72.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.271.351.341.4078.74%74.12%74.63%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Gael Monfils (Гости)
Прогноз 29.05%3.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.638%
Преимущество -0.187%
Kelly -0.264%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.19%29.24%29.12%32.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.193.243.4234.48%31.39%30.86%29.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Learner Tien (Хозяева): 70.95%; Gael Monfils (Гости): 29.05%. Для исхода «Gael Monfils (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.44. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.42, математическое ожидание — -0.638%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.80%E -2.05%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -14.29%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 06:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 09:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.638%E -0.187%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.48%E -6.57%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.90%E -7.79%K -36.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 00:55 |