Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Learner Tien v Gael Monfils

Inizio: 2026-08-06 01:00 UTC

Finale: Learner Tien 2–1 Gael Monfils

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Learner Tien (Casa)

Previsione 70.95%1.41quota equa
EV -0.674%
Vantaggio -0.482%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%70.76%70.88%72.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.351.341.4078.74%74.12%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gael Monfils (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.05%3.44quota equa
EV -0.638%
Vantaggio -0.187%
Kelly -0.264%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%29.24%29.12%32.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.193.243.4234.48%31.39%30.86%29.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Learner Tien (Casa): 70.95%; Gael Monfils (Trasferta): 29.05%. Per Gael Monfils (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.44. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.42, con un valore atteso del -0.638%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.674%E -0.482%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:55
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:59
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:59
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.80%E -2.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -14.29%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-06 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:05
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.22%E -3.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 15:30
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:55
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:55
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:59
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 00:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 13:20
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:30
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:09
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 06:49
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:34
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:44
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 00:54
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.64%E -4.24%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 00:54
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.638%E -0.187%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:59
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.81%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.06%E -5.39%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:30
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.77%E -5.98%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.48%E -6.57%K -29.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.90%E -7.79%K -36.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.22%E -0.359%K -0.508%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 14:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-08-06 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-06 00:55
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-06 00:55
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-06 00:55
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-06 00:35
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-06 00:55