Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Gael Monfils

2026-08-06 00:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 71.35%1.40odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -4.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%71.46%71.27%72.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.49%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gael Monfils (Visitante)

Previsão 28.65%3.49odd justa
EV +0.283%
Vantagem +0.081%
Kelly +0.113%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.19%28.54%28.73%31.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.37%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Learner Tien (Local): 71.35%; Gael Monfils (Visitante): 28.65%. Para Gael Monfils (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.49. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.283%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.283%E +0.081%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 19:14
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 12:00
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 09:45
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:58
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:04
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:49
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:50
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.96%E -6.17%K -27.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.39%E -7.39%K -34.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:55
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 12:00
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.30%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 16:00
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:40
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:35
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:14
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:14
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 19:14
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:40
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:30
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 07:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 09:44
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.96%E -6.17%K -27.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:50
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:09
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:58
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:44
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 12:40
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:45
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 08:35
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 09:44
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 16:39
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 16:43
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 17:15
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:45
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.96%E -6.17%K -27.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-04 20:55
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:25
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.97%E -2.18%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.67%E -6.78%K -30.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.48%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 09:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-04 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-04 23:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-08-04 23:35
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-08-05 00:05