Idioma:Español
Learner Tien v Gael Monfils
Resultado del partido
Learner Tien (Local)
Predicción 71.35%1.40momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%71.46%71.27%72.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.331.3878.74%75.49%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gael Monfils (Visitante)
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.283%
Ventaja +0.081%
Kelly +0.113%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.19%28.54%28.73%31.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.37%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Learner Tien (Local): 71.35%; Gael Monfils (Visitante): 28.65%. Para Gael Monfils (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.49. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.283%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.283%E +0.081%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.15%E -0.333%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 12:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -2.01%E -0.587%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 09:45 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.96%E -6.17%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.39%E -7.39%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.58%E -0.759%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.30%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.39%E -3.28%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 20:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 07:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 09:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.96%E -6.17%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 09:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 09:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 08:35 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.53%E -4.99%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.11%E -3.84%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.82%E -4.41%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 09:44 |
| betano_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 16:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 16:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.68%E -2.73%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.96%E -6.17%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.54%E -1.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.97%E -2.18%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.67%E -6.78%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.48%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 09:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |